Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF +500 UCI -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +11 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -5.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.9 (-6.1) | 142.6 (+24.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -4.5 (-6.5) | 142.0 (+25.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -6.3 (-4.7) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.1 (-5.9) | 144.0 (+23.0) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#238) | 4.0 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#222) | 0.76 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#203) | 1.11 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#249) | 0.547 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.