Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -250 KSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +8 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -9.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -8.3 (-16.3) | 138.9 (-22.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -7.3 (-15.3) | 131.9 (-15.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -8.7 (-16.7) | 135.0 (-19.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -8.6 (-16.6) | 139.3 (-23.3) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-12 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#123) | -3.7 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#54) | -0.74 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#71) | -1.04 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#84) | 0.451 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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