Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -163 ORU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +2 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -3.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.6 (-0.6) | 156.4 (+13.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -2.4 (-0.4) | 154.8 (+15.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -2.7 (-0.7) | 158.0 (+12.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -2.3 (-0.3) | 158.1 (+11.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#164) | -0.7 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#228) | -0.85 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#236) | -0.95 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#216) | 0.517 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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