Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -400 DUQ +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -9.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -8.9 (-1.9) | 138.2 (+12.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -6.4 (+0.6) | 136.6 (+14.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -8.7 (-1.7) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -9.1 (-2.1) | 138.4 (+12.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DUQ 79 – 77 RICH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICH 73 – 68 DUQ |
| Jan 17, 2024 | RICH 63 – 61 DUQ |
| Jan 7, 2023 | RICH 75 – 73 DUQ |
| Feb 2, 2022 | RICH 74 – 57 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 5-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#62) | 2.6 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#61) | 0.27 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#62) | 0.64 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#57) | 0.494 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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