Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +160 VMI -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -3.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -1.9 (+2.9) | 160.9 (-11.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -1.2 (+2.2) | 159.7 (-10.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -1.9 (+2.9) | 159.7 (-10.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -2.5 (+3.5) | 159.3 (-10.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#226) | 2.1 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | -0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#180) | 0.08 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#206) | 0.502 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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