Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -163 USM +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USM +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | USM -0.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -1.3 (-14.3) | 137.6 (+19.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -1.0 (-14.0) | 139.4 (+17.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.8 (-13.8) | 139.2 (+17.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -0.4 (-13.4) | 138.6 (+18.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | FIU 77 – 67 USM |
Game Analysis
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