Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -400 USM +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -10.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -8.7 (+1.3) | 134.7 (+9.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -8.5 (+1.5) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -9.6 (+0.4) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -8.9 (+1.1) | 134.9 (+9.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2021 | USM 85 – 72 FIU |
Game Analysis
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