Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -120 USU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -2.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.2 (-0.2) | 139.4 (+18.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.5 (+1.5) | 137.6 (+20.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.4 (-0.4) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.1 (-0.1) | 138.8 (+19.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 20-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#41) | 10.8 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#32) | 1.40 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#44) | 1.62 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#8) | 0.568 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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