Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SCU +163 PEPP -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +4 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -3.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -1.5 (+5.5) | 142.1 (+25.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -2.5 (+6.5) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -1.9 (+5.9) | 146.8 (+21.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -2.2 (+6.2) | 143.7 (+24.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#200) | 3.3 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#108) | 1.09 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#149) | 1.14 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#113) | 0.545 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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