Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -120 LAM +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -2.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.5 (+9.5) | 136.0 (+9.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.4 (+7.6) | 137.6 (+7.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -0.6 (+9.6) | 138.3 (+6.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.2 (+8.8) | 136.7 (+8.3) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMCC 76 – 63 LAM |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AMCC 57 – 49 LAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | LAM 67 – 56 AMCC |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LAM 65 – 61 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 61 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 5-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#331) | -12.8 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.65 (#348) | -2.46 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.35 (#348) | -3.19 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#337) | 0.394 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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