Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SC +150 MIZ -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +15 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -2.6 (-12.4) | 151.3 (+19.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -1.5 (-13.5) | 149.5 (+21.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -2.6 (-12.4) | 153.0 (+18.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -2.5 (-12.5) | 150.9 (+20.1) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 3-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#108) | 10.5 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#142) | 2.43 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#124) | 2.80 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#154) | 0.615 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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