Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -333 UGA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -10.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -9.8 (-2.8) | 155.6 (-22.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -7.5 (-0.5) | 151.2 (-18.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -9.4 (-2.4) | 153.9 (-20.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -9.5 (-2.5) | 155.6 (-22.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#30) | 5.1 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#52) | 1.40 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#51) | 1.64 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#44) | 0.537 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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