Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MONT +180 EWU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +14 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.4 (-10.6) | 148.1 (+17.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.2 (-11.8) | 146.7 (+19.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -3.2 (-10.8) | 148.8 (+17.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.7 (-10.3) | 149.7 (+16.3) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#182) | 4.4 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#265) | 0.25 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#256) | 0.50 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#203) | 0.545 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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