Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +230 L-MD -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +28 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -5.6 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -3.1 (-24.9) | 148.6 (-26.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -3.4 (-24.6) | 146.7 (-24.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -4.6 (-23.4) | 151.7 (-29.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -4.4 (-23.6) | 149.5 (-27.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Game Analysis
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