Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -125 ND +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -4.7 (+3.3) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -3.2 (+4.8) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -5.1 (+2.9) | 150.8 (-8.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -4.8 (+3.2) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SYR 86 – 72 ND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SYR 77 – 69 ND |
| Dec 7, 2024 | ND 69 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SYR 88 – 85 ND |
| Jan 15, 2023 | SYR 78 – 73 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#49) | 8.8 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#63) | 1.18 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#63) | 1.84 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#53) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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