Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DAY +230 SLU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +23 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -5.1 (+28.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.2 (+25.2) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -3.2 (+26.2) | 138.7 (-9.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.5 (+25.5) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.0 (+25.0) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 14-7 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-4 |
| Home | 8-3 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#103) | 12.4 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#93) | 1.61 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#74) | 2.16 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#103) | 0.542 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.