Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -275 IUIN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -3.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.2 (+4.8) | 148.2 (-1.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.8 (+4.2) | 146.1 (+0.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -3.2 (+3.8) | 148.9 (-1.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.4 (+4.6) | 148.9 (-1.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#271) | -7.2 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#255) | -0.69 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#254) | -1.20 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#240) | 0.477 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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