Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
Bender Arena · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NAVY -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money AMER +150 / NAVY -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total AMER win
Actual NAVY +12 132 Lost
Massey NAVY -0.6 (-11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 147.7 (-15.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 23% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 27% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML AMER -0.3 (-12.3) 147.3 (-15.3) 49% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NAVY -0.9 (-11.1) 141.9 (-9.9) 34% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NAVY -1.9 (-10.1) 146.9 (-14.9) 35% ✓
Baseline ML NAVY -0.4 (-11.6) 147.6 (-15.6) 44% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NAVY 82 – 73 AMER
Jan 13, 2026 AMER 65 – 51 NAVY
Mar 12, 2025 AMER 74 – 52 NAVY
Feb 27, 2025 NAVY 68 – 60 AMER
Jan 3, 2025 NAVY 81 – 58 AMER

Game Analysis

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