Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -700 CARK +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -12.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -12.0 (-1.0) | 152.4 (-5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.2 (+0.8) | 151.8 (-4.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -13.7 (-2.7) | 152.9 (-5.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -13.0 (-2.0) | 152.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2021 | NICH 74 – 72 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 8-1 | 4-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#202) | -12.2 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#172) | -3.31 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#195) | -4.49 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#183) | 0.429 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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