Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +1100 UNLV -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -12.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -9.6 (-6.4) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -10.6 (-5.4) | 139.9 (-3.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -9.6 (-6.4) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -8.9 (-7.1) | 143.9 (-7.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UNLV 76 – 62 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNLV 79 – 73 SJSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#340) | -0.5 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#280) | -0.15 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#285) | -0.36 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#306) | 0.483 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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