Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | NIA +188 SIE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -3.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.7 (+5.7) | 130.4 (-4.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.0 (+4.0) | 128.7 (-2.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -1.0 (+3.0) | 131.0 (-5.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.8 (+4.8) | 132.2 (-6.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#227) | 2.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#218) | 1.14 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#214) | 1.43 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#213) | 0.584 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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