And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Quinnipiac Bobcats
80 – 64
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -3.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money QUIN -150 / RID +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +16 144 Won
Massey QUIN -4.1 (+11.9) — —
Massey Totals — 143.2 (+0.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -4.0 (+12.0) 143.1 (+0.9) 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -1.9 (+14.1) 140.6 (+3.4) 64% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -2.9 (+13.1) 143.4 (+0.6) 69% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -4.1 (+11.9) 142.3 (+1.7) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 QUIN 72 – 58 RID
Mar 12, 2025 QUIN 78 – 64 RID
Jan 25, 2025 QUIN 75 – 64 RID
Dec 7, 2024 QUIN 72 – 67 RID
Feb 25, 2024 RID 88 – 78 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN RID
Overall 9-13 6-17
Conference 7-10 5-13
Home 8-5 1-8
Away 1-5 4-8
Neutral 0-3 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 67.5
Avg Pts Against 69.0 74.0
Massey -6.0 (#265) -7.6 (#281)
Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#252) -1.36 (#274)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.16 (#247) -1.66 (#274)
RPI 0.429 (#285) 0.440 (#269)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN RID
FG% 41.1% 43.0%
3PT% 33.5% 33.6%
REB / G 35.9 33.3
OREB / G 7.3 9.2
AST / TO 0.84 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 48.1%
TOV% 20.5% 17.1%
ORB% 20.7% 26.9%
FT Rate 25.7% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.6% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 16.8%
DRB% 71.1% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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