Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TNST +300 JXST -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -8.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -8.0 (+7.0) | 137.6 (+15.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -6.5 (+5.5) | 139.1 (+13.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -6.6 (+5.6) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -7.4 (+6.4) | 139.2 (+13.8) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2021 | JXST 65 – 64 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-19 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-6 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#323) | -0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#337) | 0.02 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#333) | -0.25 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#331) | 0.514 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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