Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -275 TNST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +1 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -12.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -9.9 (-8.9) | 132.5 (-3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -10.1 (-9.1) | 135.0 (-6.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -9.7 (-8.7) | 135.8 (-6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -9.9 (-8.9) | 133.1 (-4.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2021 | JXST 77 – 76 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 4-19 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#161) | -9.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#176) | -2.49 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#167) | -3.15 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#174) | 0.343 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 38.4% |
Game Analysis
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