Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -450 CBU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -11.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -11.6 (-1.6) | 145.3 (-13.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -9.3 (+0.7) | 139.4 (-7.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -11.4 (-1.4) | 144.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -11.0 (-1.0) | 144.1 (-12.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-1 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#111) | -4.9 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#143) | -1.65 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#118) | -1.81 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#149) | 0.407 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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