Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -500 HC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -12.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -11.8 (-7.8) | 148.3 (-14.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -9.8 (-5.8) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -10.3 (-6.3) | 149.7 (-15.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -11.9 (-7.9) | 149.0 (-15.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Game Analysis
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