Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +230 EKU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +22 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -6.6 (+28.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.8 (+27.8) | 153.4 (+12.6) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.6 (+25.6) | 154.0 (+12.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.9 (+26.9) | 156.9 (+9.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -5.2 (+27.2) | 155.0 (+11.0) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2021 | EKU 87 – 65 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#287) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#308) | 0.54 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#309) | -0.04 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#298) | 0.534 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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