Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +220 EKU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +22 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -4.3 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -3.1 (-18.9) | 155.6 (-3.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -2.5 (-19.5) | 154.6 (-2.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -3.4 (-18.6) | 157.1 (-5.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.4 (-18.6) | 155.5 (-3.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2021 | SEMO 94 – 72 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#276) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#296) | 0.21 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#303) | -0.46 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#276) | 0.525 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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