Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -138 WVU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -2.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.6 (-5.6) | 149.6 (+16.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -2.6 (-4.6) | 149.5 (+16.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.3 (-5.3) | 149.5 (+16.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.5 (-5.5) | 150.1 (+15.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | TEX 94 – 58 WVU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WVU 76 – 73 TEX |
| Feb 11, 2023 | TEX 94 – 60 WVU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TEX 69 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | TEX 82 – 81 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-2 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#23) | 13.6 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#9) | 2.92 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#7) | 3.71 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#10) | 0.634 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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