Well New York City really has it all. "Sheena Is a Punk Rocker" - The Ramones
Iowa State Cyclones
56 – 66
FINAL Conference
Oklahoma Sooners
Big 12 Conference · Hilton Coliseum · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread OU -11.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money ISU +550 / OU -700
Model Predictions
Spread Total ISU win
Actual OU +10 122 Lost
Massey OU -14.6 (+4.6) — —
Massey Totals — 143.0 (-21.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 2% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OU -12.4 (+2.4) 144.6 (-22.6) 14% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -10.8 (+0.8) 141.7 (-19.7) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OU -12.9 (+2.9) 144.4 (-22.4) 13% ✓
Baseline ML OU -12.7 (+2.7) 142.4 (-20.4) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 29, 2024 ISU 58 – 45 OU
Jan 6, 2024 OU 71 – 63 ISU
Feb 25, 2023 OU 61 – 50 ISU
Jan 5, 2023 ISU 63 – 60 OU
Feb 19, 2022 ISU 75 – 54 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ISU OU
Overall 2-22 16-11
Conference 0-18 9-8
Home 2-10 10-3
Away 0-11 4-7
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L18 L1
Avg Pts For 65.6 74.5
Avg Pts Against 76.7 69.9
Massey -3.1 (#216) 14.0 (#21)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#276) 3.13 (#5)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.70 (#277) 3.43 (#19)
RPI 0.457 (#236) 0.609 (#20)
Shooting & Four Factors ISU OU
FG% 42.2% 44.4%
3PT% 32.6% 33.7%
REB / G 31.1 37.7
OREB / G 8.2 10.4
AST / TO 0.71 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 50.9%
TOV% 21.6% 15.3%
ORB% 23.3% 28.5%
FT Rate 16.9% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 18.7%
DRB% 64.5% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 15.7%

Game Analysis

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