Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LMU +320 BYU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +17 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -7.1 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -4.1 (-12.9) | 141.2 (+17.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -3.3 (-13.7) | 139.1 (+19.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -4.0 (-13.0) | 140.6 (+18.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.3 (-12.7) | 141.9 (+17.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | BYU 73 – 63 LMU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | BYU 89 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LMU 64 – 59 BYU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BYU 85 – 60 LMU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 59 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 10-3 |
| Home | 8-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#115) | 13.2 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#76) | 2.61 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#90) | 3.21 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.619 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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