Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UTM +800 MORE -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -14.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -12.3 (+2.3) | 133.3 (+14.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -10.5 (+0.5) | 128.1 (+19.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.4 (+1.4) | 132.7 (+15.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -12.2 (+2.2) | 134.5 (+13.5) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 17-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#341) | 0.8 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#315) | 0.61 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#326) | 0.52 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#311) | 0.557 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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