Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -1000 NAU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -20.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -15.0 (+7.0) | 148.8 (-22.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -14.4 (+7.6) | 143.5 (-17.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -16.4 (+5.6) | 146.2 (-20.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -16.8 (+5.2) | 147.6 (-21.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-6 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-0 | 1-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#91) | -11.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#167) | -2.05 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#163) | -2.83 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.453 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 60.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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