Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +170 HAW -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +1 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -6.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -5.0 (+4.0) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -4.4 (+3.4) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -3.9 (+2.9) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -4.6 (+3.6) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 11-10 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#298) | 0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#233) | -0.34 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#257) | -0.28 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#281) | 0.465 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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