Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -275 MSST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -6.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -5.4 (-15.4) | 132.4 (-10.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -3.2 (-13.2) | 128.7 (-6.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -5.4 (-15.4) | 131.5 (-9.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -5.7 (-15.7) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MSST 90 – 78 MISS |
| Jan 18, 2026 | MISS 68 – 67 MSST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MSST 81 – 71 MISS |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MSST 84 – 81 MISS |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MSST 83 – 71 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#51) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#65) | 0.77 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#65) | 1.26 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#76) | 0.513 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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