This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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70–25 on winners spread MAE 8.8 95 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland @ Indiana +3.0 135.8 61% 53–65 ✓
Mercer @ Georgia +8.3 134.9 77% 69–80 ✓
Rider @ Siena -7.7 126.5 26% 65–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Niagara -1.2 132.5 45% 72–67 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Manhattan +4.1 142.9 60% 74–75 ✓
Iona @ Fairfield -1.4 147.5 45% 78–67 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Canisius +4.6 148.7 71% 73–93 ✓
George Washington @ South Carolina +4.9 147.3 73% 67–89 ✓
Bryant @ Brown +2.3 145.3 58% 69–66 ✗
Norfolk State @ VCU +13.0 137.3 84% 63–60 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Bethune-Cookman -3.2 144.6 41% 82–96 ✗
St. John's @ West Virginia -0.5 140.0 43% 79–73 ✓
Arkansas State @ Little Rock +8.2 161.2 80% 66–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ UAB +8.9 139.9 74% 85–82 ✗
Towson @ South Dakota State +1.5 131.6 58% 48–61 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU +11.8 145.7 84% 66–73 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Troy +1.2 139.9 57% 60–83 ✓
Iowa State @ DePaul -11.9 138.5 17% 99–80 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -7.2 139.2 38% 88–92 ✗
UConn @ Kansas +4.4 145.6 70% 65–69 ✓
Fresno State @ BYU +19.7 145.2 87% 56–85 ✓
North Dakota @ Cal State Fullerton +2.9 142.0 61% 54–64 ✓
Wyoming @ Portland +3.5 146.0 66% 70–81 ✓
San Diego State @ UC San Diego -6.8 147.6 26% 63–62 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Boise State +0.2 131.4 46% 60–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Miami +11.4 142.1 85% 49–62 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia +7.3 128.4 79% 62–84 ✓
Bucknell @ Penn State +14.4 139.7 87% 76–67 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis -7.0 143.2 22% 71–55 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin -0.2 138.6 61% 64–75 ✗
Georgia State @ Kennesaw State -2.0 156.8 45% 77–88 ✗
Holy Cross @ Central Connecticut +11.9 138.2 86% 67–78 ✓
Lehigh @ UMBC +4.4 155.4 52% 87–92 ✓
South Florida @ Massachusetts +14.2 146.0 85% 56–66 ✓
Presbyterian @ VMI +1.7 142.9 54% 75–71 ✗
Florida State @ North Carolina +9.6 156.5 80% 70–78 ✓
Drexel @ Villanova +5.2 126.9 70% 57–55 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ North Texas +25.1 127.3 91% 48–79 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville +9.3 149.2 81% 89–91 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +10.8 148.3 83% 68–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Bradley +2.4 151.5 63% 85–77 ✗
Cornell @ Lafayette -8.8 143.7 20% 79–71 ✓
Saint Francis @ American University +10.8 137.3 79% 75–73 ✗
Bellarmine @ Ball State +3.5 136.2 64% 58–67 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris -0.1 144.6 47% 71–57 ✓
Delaware @ Ohio +4.9 149.0 70% 73–74 ✓
Furman @ Princeton +19.2 151.5 89% 69–70 ✓
North Alabama @ Kansas State +14.2 155.5 86% 74–75 ✓
High Point @ North Florida -2.0 151.6 45% 86–79 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss +2.1 138.0 63% 77–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Northeastern +5.8 147.3 74% 68–81 ✓
The Citadel @ North Carolina A&T -6.0 145.5 23% 85–68 ✓
Boston University @ Sacred Heart +6.4 138.1 75% 70–49 ✗
Grambling @ Dayton +25.3 141.4 91% 46–76 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo -9.2 137.7 18% 80–65 ✓
Binghamton @ Stonehill -2.9 148.8 33% 79–64 ✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech -4.9 148.0 35% 68–72 ✗
Colgate @ Arizona +24.4 141.6 90% 55–82 ✓
San José State @ Montana -0.9 135.3 48% 58–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ Georgia Southern -1.1 149.3 36% 81–79 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina Central +6.9 136.4 72% 85–82 ✗
Wright State @ Davidson +3.8 153.0 65% 73–82 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +9.8 140.2 84% 58–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +5.0 148.9 72% 98–77 ✗
Nicholls @ Louisiana Tech +13.5 142.2 86% 55–68 ✓
UT Martin @ McNeese +18.2 152.9 88% 80–91 ✓
Saint Louis @ Southern Illinois +10.2 143.8 81% 62–101 ✓
Wagner @ Stony Brook +6.0 130.5 64% 60–59 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ NJIT +1.7 152.8 52% 71–68 ✗
Michigan @ Oregon +6.3 154.2 76% 83–86 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Kentucky +18.0 152.8 86% 80–73 ✗
Illinois @ Rutgers +3.9 128.7 57% 76–58 ✗
NC State @ Boston College +5.2 146.9 67% 84–78 ✗
Missouri State @ Drake +3.5 147.9 65% 57–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina -4.8 148.6 35% 90–87 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Northern Colorado +1.4 147.6 61% 71–75 ✓
Bowling Green @ Southern Indiana -3.1 134.6 34% 54–52 ✓
Harvard @ Loyola Chicago +0.5 143.9 50% 53–75 ✓
Lipscomb @ UCF +5.4 153.1 71% 57–72 ✓
Pacific @ Northern Arizona +9.4 133.6 77% 58–78 ✓
Pennsylvania @ La Salle -1.8 151.1 42% 92–93 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Vanderbilt +6.2 149.0 71% 59–78 ✓
Delaware State @ Loyola Maryland +4.2 138.8 67% 79–73 ✗
Houston Christian @ Rice +13.6 154.9 87% 56–65 ✓
Cal Poly @ Idaho +0.5 140.0 52% 70–85 ✓
Portland State @ Washington State +8.7 141.7 81% 61–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +15.4 137.4 89% 75–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Charleston Southern +1.3 146.8 53% 64–66 ✓
TCU @ Georgetown -4.4 151.8 32% 84–83 ✓
Northwestern State @ Baylor +27.4 159.2 91% 40–91 ✓
Charleston @ Florida Atlantic +18.5 148.5 88% 74–90 ✓
William & Mary @ Richmond +16.8 149.6 87% 69–88 ✓
Long Island University @ Florida International +3.8 141.7 69% 59–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian -0.8 145.6 48% 79–74 ✓
Southern Utah @ Seattle U +7.5 144.7 80% 63–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.