We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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63–25 on winners spread MAE 10.6 90 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Stonehill @ Kentucky +32.1 144.3 91% 67–101 ✓
Radford @ James Madison +19.2 154.0 88% 73–76 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Kentucky — — — 80–74 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Nicholls +1.4 137.4 58% 60–51 ✗
Morehead State @ Penn State +17.5 139.6 87% 51–74 ✓
Davidson @ East Tennessee State -1.1 136.9 55% 68–70 ✗
Sacramento State @ Tulane +13.2 149.6 84% 57–92 ✓
Coppin State @ Miami (OH) +12.6 129.0 89% 48–76 ✓
Bellarmine @ Bowling Green +11.1 134.9 81% 85–67 ✗
Robert Morris @ Wisconsin +6.1 144.4 74% 68–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ North Florida +8.3 151.6 76% 74–80 ✓
Rider @ Duquesne +13.1 141.6 87% 58–77 ✓
Charleston Southern @ NC State +25.2 140.3 90% 53–87 ✓
Auburn @ St. Bonaventure -3.8 143.2 32% 77–60 ✓
Towson @ Wake Forest -0.4 137.5 49% 61–71 ✗
Harvard @ Massachusetts +7.7 153.4 72% 78–75 ✗
Long Beach State @ Michigan +18.4 157.5 86% 94–86 ✗
Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh +25.9 150.5 89% 56–107 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Saint Joseph's +24.8 140.6 89% 57–54 ✗
Fairfield @ Drexel +8.8 144.8 83% 47–65 ✓
Florida State @ Florida +5.2 157.3 58% 68–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +7.5 136.3 74% 71–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ St. Thomas +1.0 131.9 57% 61–60 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Elon -4.0 145.8 41% 72–86 ✗
South Carolina State @ Samford +8.5 147.3 65% 72–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Texas A&M +22.8 142.2 89% 66–74 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Arkansas +18.5 154.5 87% 78–72 ✗
UC Riverside @ North Carolina +20.2 145.8 88% 52–77 ✓
Mercer @ Alabama +25.6 150.7 90% 67–98 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois +20.1 127.1 88% 64–87 ✓
Arkansas State @ Iowa +25.6 168.0 91% 74–88 ✓
Southern @ Western Illinois -1.7 147.9 37% 80–88 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Oklahoma +35.6 146.5 91% 66–90 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +23.1 146.4 88% 75–92 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ TCU +35.1 145.7 91% 52–86 ✓
Missouri State @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.3 138.6 43% 70–61 ✓
UTSA @ Texas State +11.3 148.8 82% 62–72 ✓
Maryland @ Villanova +16.2 134.9 86% 40–57 ✓
Austin Peay @ UTEP +15.4 135.6 86% 63–71 ✓
Sam Houston @ Ole Miss +7.6 135.9 76% 67–70 ✓
Tennessee State @ Oregon +11.2 139.9 72% 67–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Stanford +11.3 158.0 83% 70–95 ✓
San Francisco @ Grand Canyon +0.0 141.5 49% 72–76 ✓
Wichita State @ Liberty +0.9 137.9 49% 66–83 ✓
Kansas City @ Colorado State +30.8 153.5 90% 61–84 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Diego State +6.2 133.8 76% 54–79 ✓
Le Moyne @ San Diego +23.5 140.3 90% 71–80 ✓
Portland State @ California Baptist +1.8 138.0 50% 66–63 ✗
UNLV @ Pepperdine +24.0 142.3 89% 82–68 ✗
Belmont @ Arizona +38.4 159.7 91% 68–100 ✓
South Carolina @ DePaul -8.0 138.1 24% 73–68 ✓
Washington @ Xavier +2.5 145.9 58% 74–71 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Sacred Heart +4.1 148.1 65% 51–66 ✓
Wagner @ Seton Hall +21.0 135.1 89% 51–72 ✓
Washington State @ Mississippi State +1.8 136.4 59% 64–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Georgetown +9.3 136.0 80% 72–83 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Lipscomb +17.4 149.5 88% 81–106 ✓
Columbia @ Temple +18.4 145.2 86% 78–73 ✗
Cleveland State @ Eastern Michigan -6.0 144.9 26% 62–69 ✗
New Hampshire @ George Washington +12.7 145.0 83% 67–79 ✓
VMI @ Northern Arizona -3.6 142.1 31% 69–78 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Little Rock -3.7 148.0 34% 98–93 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Minnesota +13.1 148.3 86% 53–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Northwestern State -9.3 144.9 21% 78–75 ✓
Southern Indiana @ La Salle +13.2 136.7 83% 78–79 ✓
Ball State @ Evansville +13.3 135.8 84% 50–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Ohio +19.2 152.9 89% 52–71 ✓
Princeton @ Monmouth +2.6 136.2 62% 82–57 ✗
Seattle U @ VCU +6.6 133.4 78% 56–60 ✓
Northwestern @ Rhode Island +2.3 135.9 59% 72–61 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Longwood +20.6 136.1 89% 66–73 ✓
Norfolk State @ San José State +4.5 132.2 68% 53–77 ✓
Coppin State @ Eastern Illinois +5.5 129.4 80% 46–48 ✓
Marist @ Binghamton +0.8 130.2 55% 59–82 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Maryland Eastern Shore -5.8 139.5 34% 80–83 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Colgate -4.0 133.3 39% 52–59 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Loyola Chicago — — — 70–73 —
McNeese @ Western Carolina +8.1 137.4 76% 74–76 ✓
Oregon State @ Nebraska +4.1 136.7 75% 63–84 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ South Dakota -3.3 153.1 34% 93–81 ✓
Winthrop @ IU Indianapolis -2.0 141.7 32% 74–61 ✓
Harvard @ Boston College +7.2 143.5 74% 64–73 ✓
Maine @ North Florida +0.8 143.0 57% 58–67 ✓
Lamar @ Pacific +0.9 143.7 52% 76–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ Portland State +11.5 140.6 79% 57–73 ✓
Hampton @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.5 142.4 74% 92–85 ✗
Bryant @ Florida Atlantic +24.9 145.7 89% 61–52 ✗
Howard @ Rutgers +9.5 138.7 79% 63–85 ✓
Queens University @ Fairfield +2.5 149.7 55% 69–63 ✗
Yale @ Weber State -1.1 132.8 39% 65–75 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.