Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–12 on winners spread MAE 9.1 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Navy @ UC San Diego +12.8 140.5 78% 55–73 ✓
Elon @ Holy Cross -1.5 149.7 43% 83–69 ✓
St. Thomas @ California Baptist +9.0 130.8 68% 62–66 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Santa Clara +23.8 149.2 90% 63–65 ✓
Jacksonville State @ North Alabama +9.7 142.3 75% 59–61 ✓
Texas Southern @ Creighton +33.1 140.7 91% 50–82 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +10.5 162.2 78% 100–81 ✗
Northern Colorado @ New Mexico State +6.2 141.5 58% 71–76 ✓
Morgan State @ BYU +38.4 158.7 91% 50–93 ✓
Portland @ Nevada +23.0 143.4 88% 83–108 ✓
Wyoming @ Furman +2.7 147.2 63% 78–71 ✗
Oakland @ Drake +1.5 140.1 49% 77–85 ✓
Southern Miss @ Utah Valley +3.1 131.1 71% 65–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ IU Indianapolis -1.4 140.5 43% 74–61 ✓
Providence @ Georgia -2.9 135.4 39% 71–64 ✓
North Texas @ Towson +1.1 124.0 53% 65–39 ✗
UConn @ Indiana -12.2 144.7 17% 77–57 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ South Alabama +0.7 132.0 57% 74–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Prairie View A&M +0.7 146.3 53% 66–78 ✓
Manhattan @ Central Connecticut +4.5 137.5 68% 67–63 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +11.0 134.0 86% 64–76 ✓
Boise State @ Clemson +11.3 133.6 84% 68–85 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ UMBC +6.1 143.4 75% 79–94 ✓
Charleston @ Coastal Carolina +4.7 148.9 68% 80–72 ✗
Northwestern @ Mississippi State +6.9 128.5 76% 57–66 ✓
Weber State @ Colgate -4.6 127.0 31% 55–57 ✗
Grambling @ Iowa State +37.7 144.7 91% 37–92 ✓
Lindenwood @ William & Mary +5.0 148.0 75% 71–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Stephen F. Austin +8.1 149.7 74% 76–86 ✓
Little Rock @ Georgia State +6.6 150.4 76% 77–88 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Chattanooga +20.4 142.7 90% 63–68 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cincinnati +15.4 140.8 86% 66–90 ✓
Queens University @ Drexel +9.6 132.4 79% 52–62 ✓
Northeastern @ East Carolina +4.9 147.3 65% 82–76 ✗
UAlbany @ Quinnipiac +4.9 152.2 76% 82–85 ✓
Kansas State @ Miami +4.0 155.0 63% 83–91 ✓
Elon @ Winthrop +4.6 150.4 68% 70–78 ✓
Cornell @ Cal State Fullerton -9.4 140.7 20% 88–70 ✓
LSU @ Wake Forest +1.3 146.4 56% 86–80 ✗
Yale @ Gardner-Webb -3.3 136.9 33% 71–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Washington State +3.3 146.3 64% 57–78 ✓
Texas @ Louisville -10.9 143.7 19% 81–80 ✓
Omaha @ Air Force +10.7 138.7 82% 56–58 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio State +13.8 140.8 77% 56–73 ✓
DePaul @ San Francisco +4.1 134.9 68% 54–70 ✓
American University @ Georgetown +11.8 142.2 82% 83–88 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Georgia Southern -3.1 141.8 46% 96–92 ✓
Wofford @ Virginia Tech +19.7 154.5 88% 76–98 ✓
Marshall @ Utah State +1.1 150.2 52% 60–83 ✓
Northern Iowa @ South Florida +12.8 145.4 77% 65–74 ✓
Charlotte @ George Mason -0.8 125.9 46% 54–49 ✓
Portland State @ St. Thomas -10.6 124.8 34% 70–76 ✗
Vermont @ Liberty +5.3 137.8 65% 61–71 ✓
Fordham @ Abilene Christian +1.1 142.0 56% 45–59 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arizona +26.0 152.2 90% 56–101 ✓
Alcorn State @ Michigan State +18.0 140.2 88% 49–81 ✓
Jackson State @ Missouri +16.6 143.6 88% 73–72 ✗
St. John's @ Utah +11.8 147.9 80% 91–82 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.