Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +335 COFC -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -9.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -0.3 (-7.7) | 151.0 (+1.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.3 (-12.3) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -4.7 (-12.7) | 148.9 (+3.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -4.2 (-12.2) | 151.3 (+0.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2023 | COFC 84 – 81 CCU |
| Dec 20, 2022 | COFC 83 – 69 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#281) | -7.0 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#323) | -0.90 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#304) | -1.39 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#244) | 0.560 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 18.8% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 11.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.