Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +310 COFC -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +14 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -7.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.6 (-6.4) | 146.5 (+5.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.7 (-8.3) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -4.9 (-9.1) | 145.6 (+6.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.0 (-8.0) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2023 | COFC 84 – 81 CCU |
| Nov 19, 2023 | COFC 80 – 72 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-8 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#279) | 6.9 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | 2.98 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#172) | 3.50 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#165) | 0.669 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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