Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
| Money | COFC -1600 CCU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -17.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -16.4 (-13.4) | 154.4 (+10.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -14.5 (-11.5) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -15.2 (-12.2) | 152.6 (+12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -14.9 (-11.9) | 153.9 (+11.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | COFC 80 – 72 CCU |
| Dec 20, 2022 | COFC 83 – 69 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-11 |
| Away | 10-2 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#140) | -10.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#114) | -2.65 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#115) | -3.85 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#85) | 0.350 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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