Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -700 NKU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +24 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -11.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -14.1 (+9.9) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -15.4 (+8.6) | 140.8 (+15.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -11.8 (+12.2) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -11.4 (+12.6) | 142.2 (+13.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | CIN 76 – 60 NKU |
| Nov 17, 2022 | NKU 64 – 51 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#96) | 0.6 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#62) | -0.92 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#64) | -1.07 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#63) | 0.437 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 19.4% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 40.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 86.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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