Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NKU +240 CIN -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -2.8 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.5 (+18.5) | 134.8 (-19.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.5 (+17.5) | 139.1 (-24.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -3.4 (+16.4) | 139.7 (-24.7) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | CIN 76 – 60 NKU |
| Nov 19, 2023 | CIN 90 – 66 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#335) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#324) | 0.44 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#326) | 0.55 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#81) | 0.438 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 18.5% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 34.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 43.2% | 43.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 66.4% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.9% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
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