Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NKU +750 CIN -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -17.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -13.8 (-2.2) | 132.3 (+3.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -15.9 (-0.1) | 131.2 (+4.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -10.1 (-5.9) | 131.3 (+4.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -13.3 (-2.7) | 131.8 (+4.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | CIN 90 – 66 NKU |
| Nov 17, 2022 | NKU 64 – 51 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#300) | 17.0 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#360) | 0.70 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.27 (#360) | 0.81 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#300) | 0.438 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.8% | 57.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 43.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 2.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 65.2% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 42.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 36.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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