Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -1600 SELA +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -25.1 (-23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -19.6 (-17.6) | 145.1 (-17.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -18.0 (-16.0) | 147.1 (-19.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -23.8 (-21.8) | 149.2 (-21.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -25.0 (-23.0) | 151.0 (-23.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#66) | -10.3 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#11) | -0.56 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.81 (#9) | -0.56 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#53) | 0.531 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 44.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 37.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 80.7% | 58.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.