Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | FUR -267 WYO +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -6.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -5.0 (-12.0) | 148.4 (+0.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.1 (-10.1) | 146.4 (+2.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -2.7 (-9.7) | 147.2 (+1.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -3.2 (-10.2) | 149.3 (-0.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#114) | -2.9 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#113) | 0.36 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#109) | 0.39 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#85) | 0.553 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 36.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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