Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH -210 SJU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +9 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -14.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -9.5 (-18.5) | 147.4 (+25.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -11.0 (-20.0) | 146.1 (+26.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -11.8 (-20.8) | 147.9 (+25.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -12.5 (-21.5) | 147.1 (+25.9) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#23) | -3.5 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#87) | -1.08 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#77) | -2.52 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#142) | 0.485 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 17.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 45.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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