Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -500 EIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -17.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -10.4 (+1.6) | 133.5 (+6.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -10.8 (+1.2) | 135.8 (+4.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -11.0 (+1.0) | 134.0 (+6.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -10.2 (+1.8) | 135.5 (+4.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#232) | -11.2 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#339) | -1.64 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#337) | -3.05 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#290) | 0.323 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 33.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 37.9% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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