Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -29.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +55 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -39.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -26.1 (+28.9) | 142.3 (-13.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -26.3 (+28.7) | 145.2 (-16.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -37.7 (+17.3) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -41.6 (+13.4) | 147.6 (-18.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | ISU 102 – 62 GRAM |
| Nov 21, 2021 | ISU 82 – 47 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 18-0 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 21.5 (#3) | -9.9 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#104) | -1.95 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#102) | -2.95 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#232) | 0.365 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 25.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.67 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 9.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 81.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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