Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | ISU -1600 GRAM +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +35 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -14.9 (+20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -12.6 (+22.4) | 132.7 (-3.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -12.5 (+22.5) | 135.1 (-6.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -13.9 (+21.1) | 136.2 (-7.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -15.7 (+19.3) | 136.4 (-7.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | ISU 102 – 62 GRAM |
| Nov 19, 2023 | ISU 92 – 37 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#204) | -8.6 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#147) | -1.07 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#157) | -1.62 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#211) | 0.474 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.5% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 29.3% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.